in a graph. By finishing at the top of its hen, France has four out of five chances to reach or less the quarter -finals.
by the decoders
This is not a guarantee of final victory, but a good omen for the rest of the course. If France ensures first place against Tunisia, Wednesday November 30 at 4 p.m., it would statistically ensure a promising course.
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Indeed, since 1994 and the introduction of the current format (32 teams divided into eight groups of four), the first in the hen is qualified for the quarterfinals in 80.4 % of the cases (45 qualifications out of 56 possible). In 1994 and 2014, the majors of their group even made a full card in the round of 16.
Is this the effect of an intrinsic superiority, the confidence garnered, or a easier course (the eighth finals opposes them to the second groups, reputed to be lower)? The fact remains that the place in the group phase often determines success in the tournament.
More generally, 24 of the last 28 semi-finalists (or 85.7 %) and 13 of the last 14 finalists (i.e. 92.9 %), thus left their hen (2006 France, wearing in pool By Switzerland before climbing in the final, is an exception). Better still: the final winner of the competition has always been a first in a hen. This was the case for Brazil in 1994 and 2002, France in 1998 and 2018, Italy in 2006, Spain in 2010 and Germany in 2014.
Beware, however, with excess of confidence. Nigeria and Romania in 1998; Mexico, Denmark, Sweden and Japan in 2002; Switzerland and Spain in 2006; The United States in 2010 or even Spain and Colombia in 2018 can testify: it is possible to reach the top of its mini-championship at four and take the door from the round of 16, first match with elimination direct.