It is anything but banal than a new year, which is more under the sign of the need for “unity” by the Head of State, opens onto the prospect of a programmed force test and assumed. The pension reform that Elisabeth Borne, the Prime Minister, must unveil on January 10 223 a pivotal political year. The recovery of the retirement age at 64 or 65 is supposed to fill the deficit of the distribution system whose pension orientation council (COR) provides for reappearance this year. But it has become much more than that: a symbol object around which the political forces will continue their recomposition. If the outcome of the confrontation is obviously not known, we already know that it will have repercussions on the current political balances.
Every a priori plays against the executive, which has public opinion, unions, left forces, national rally (RN) and part of the right against him. One wonders what could have pushed the President of the Republic to take such a risk, while the crises that shake the country create fear and strengthen the desire to protect the benefits acquired.
A very v e republic of institutions is not enough to explain his relentlessness. Admittedly, Emmanuel Macron campaigned around retirement at 65. But the legislative elections that followed did not grant him sufficient majority to have it voted. It is even likely that this red cloth helped boost the scoring of its opponents. Two legitimities therefore compete around the reform, one presidential election, the other parliamentarian.
The fact that Emmanuel Macron cannot represent himself in 2027 explains his relentlessness more. Leaving a trace in history, acting quickly before the succession quarrels come to hinder your freedom appear as two powerful motivations. Taking the future generations to witness, the Head of State did a lot so that the pension reform, which could have only been addressed from the angle of the distribution system, becomes the emblem of its policy: Increase the volume of work to support growth, refuse tax increases so as not to harm attractiveness and competitiveness, aim for the end of mass unemployment to try to overcome collective depression.
By excluding putting on the table any other solution to replenish the pensions system (such as, for example, a slight increase in contributions combined with an extension of the duration of contribution), he knew he would put himself on the back The unions and the whole left. He assumed the political battle. The problem is that in the current state of polls, it also has a majority of French people against him.
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