Joe Biden could hardly escape the brass law of American politics. The latter wants each election of mid-term the party represented at the White House systematically loses seats in the House of Representatives as regularly in the Senate. Given the narrowness of the Democratic majorities, only exceptional circumstances would have made it possible to escape this curse.
In 2018, a flourishing economic situation had not prevented a republican rout in the House. In 2022, the concern fueled by inflation combined with the unpopularity of an almost octogenarian president could have led to a strong republican push. However, she did not manifest herself in the first results announced on the morning of November 9. The wave has raised more of the wave, probably sufficient to win the room.
The Republicans should have found themselves in a position of strength to pivot towards the presidential election of 2024 and the traditional choreography of the primaries. However, it should be difficult for the great Old Party to reconnect with this banal electoral routine. Because its limited success should highlight the prize granted to obtain it. 2>
The myth of electoral fraud
In a system that already outrageously favors his rural bastions, in the Senate as in the presidential electoral college, the attacks on the cogs of representative democracy are old and have not waited for Donald Trump. The republican strategist Paul Weyrich theorized, in 1980, the usefulness of restrictions on the exercise of the vote. “I do not want everyone to vote,” he said then. In fact, our influence in the elections, if we want to speak frankly, goes up as [participation] decreases. “
The same goes with the demonstrations of force around the polling stations, assimilated to intimidation, bridled by a court decision until its expiration, in 2017. The myth of massive electoral fraud Remember, however, has also been used improperly used for years by the Republican Party in the States he directs to justify the purge of electoral lists or the reduction in the number of polling stations in Democratic Bastions, officially in the name of the sincerity of elections.
A CAP was however crossed in this strategy and these tactics after the 2020 presidential election. In the wake of Donald Trump, unable to recognize his defeat, the Republican Party has mainly converted to the conspiracy theory ‘A stolen election. On November 8, a third of his candidates for a post of secretary of state and two thirds of his candidates for a post of governor subscribed to it. These two positions are decisive to certify the results of the elections, starting with those of the presidential election of 2024.
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