The 30 ° C threshold could be exceeded in certain places. Such temperatures are rare in mid-October and continue an exceptionally hot year.
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France has not yet finished with heat this year. A new episode is expected in the southwest from Saturday October 15 and is expected to continue next week on almost all of the country, according to Météo-France. A rare late sweetness of sweetness at this period, which continues an exceptionally hot 2022.
Many cities, especially in the southwest, should record a series of five to seven days of heat, with maximum temperature more than 25 ° C, or even peaks at 30 ° C, and could break records for The period.
Saturday, we expect 29 ° C in Pau, 28 ° C in Montauban and Auch, 27 ° Toulouse. Sunday, the thermometer could climb to Pau or 29 ° C in Tarbes and Biarritz, between 7 ° C and 10 ° C above seasonal normal. In the northern half, 25 ° C are expected in Tours and Strasbourg, 23 ° C in Paris. In question: a large depressional system in the Atlantic which brings up the hot air masses from Spain and the Maghreb.
“It is a classic configuration but it should lead to heat levels rarely affected for mid-October”, explains François Jobard, forecaster in Météo-France. October is a month with a strong decline in temperatures, he recalls, the falling mercury of 1 ° C every six days.
“accumulation effect”
According to forecasts, the national thermal indicator, average temperatures noted in thirty points distributed throughout the metropolitan territory, is expected to be around 19 ° C between Monday and Wednesday, which promise to be the most soft days at the national scale. The record for this indicator on the second half of October is 19.2 ° C in 2014. Only the northwest regions should be more spared, notably Brittany and Normandy.
“This episode comes in an exceptionally hot year. There is an accumulation effect”, recalls François Jobard. The high heat threshold of 30 ° C had been reached very early, in mid-May. Then the country was suffocated under three heat waves in three months, including a first in June, the earliest ever recorded; They are “probably” at the origin of more than 11,000 additional deaths in the country, according to the National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (INSEE). In the end, the summer ranked as the second warmer observed in France since at least 1900, behind 2003.
France has also experienced a succession of devastating fires, historical droughts and, at the same time, major floods, before recording late hot heat in September.
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