Budget Battle starts in National Assembly, with 49.3 in sight

The examination of the 2023 finance bill begins on Monday in the hemicycle of the Palais-Bourbon, where the government is preparing to pass the text without a vote, for lack of an absolute majority.

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The examination of the 2023 finance bill, the first part of which – devoted to revenue – begins Monday October 10 in the hemicycle, will he offer a new illustration of the limits of the new political deal to the ‘National Assembly?

From the end of the summer, even before the contours of the executive budget, marked by the consequences of the war in Ukraine – between inflation and energy crisis – are known, the oppositions, the new Popular, Ecological and Social Union (Nuts) to the National Rally (RN), via the Republicans (LR), have displayed their intention to oppose it. Everyone seeing there, “the founding political act of a majority”, according to the expression of the deputy (LR) of the Jura, Marie-Christine Dalloz. In response, the government has indicated that it was considering using article 49.3 of the Constitution, which allows it to have a text adopted without a vote.

This has had the effect of arouse fear, in the majority, that discussions focus more on the moment when the 49.3 will be presented only on the content of the budgetary texts. “It’s still terrible, we are no longer talking about the budget,” annoys his general rapporteur, the deputy (Renaissance) of Gers Jean-René Cazeneuve.

In a context of multiple crises and economic uncertainty, the budget presented on September 26 by the government plans to contain the deficit to 5 % of the gross domestic product (GDP) of the country, however by establishing a “price shield” of 45 billion euros to contain the outbreak of electricity and gas prices, and indexing on the inflation of the income tax scale (6.2 billion euros).

LR deputies have deposited the most amendments

If the number of 3,300 amendments remains important for a finance bill, it remains below 40,000 tabled by opposition during laborious discussions on pension reform, in winter 2019, which s ‘were closed by a 49.3. “Public opinion had ended up seeing that the oppositions had done everything to block the text. They fired the consequences. This time, they will not be in the blocking or in aggressiveness,” anticipates the MP (Renaissance) of Yvelines, Nadia Hai. If the outcome seems inevitable, a question crosses each group: “Who will win the battle of 49.3?”, Questions the leader of environmentalists in the National Assembly, Cyrielle Chatelain.

While the presidential coalition expected to crumble under an avalanche of amendments in particular of the cloud – giving it an additional argument to quickly trigger 49.3 -, it was the elected officials of LR who alone deposited a third party of total (1,200) to be discussed in session, against 800 for the four left groups represented at the Palais-Bourbon. “The challenge on the budget is to discuss, to score points in the cultural battle, rather than to make the obstruction which will especially come to the pension reform”, explains the deputy (La France insoumise, LFI) of Seine -Maritime, Alma Dufour.

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/Media reports.