Research Finds AI Can Replace 40% of People

Scientists from the University of California at San Diego have recently published a study exploring the ability of artificial intelligence (AI) to pass the Turing test. The Turing test, proposed by Alan Turing 70 years ago, evaluates a machine’s ability to imitate human behavior convincingly enough that a human interlocutor cannot distinguish it from a real person in a conversation.

In their research, the scientists conducted 1,400 games, with 650 participants engaging in short conversations either with another person or with a GPT (Generative Pre-trained Transformer) model. The participants’ task was to determine the identity of their interlocutor.

The findings revealed that in 41% of cases, the participants were misled by the GPT-4 models, while the previous version, GPT-3.5, only deceived participants in 5-14% of cases. Interestingly, humans were successful in convincing the participants that they were not machines in 63% of cases.

Based on these results, the scientists concluded that the GPT-4 model did not pass the Turing test. Nevertheless, they emphasized that the test remains a vital tool for evaluating the effectiveness of machine dialogue. The fact that the GPT-4 model was able to deceive participants in 41% of cases suggests that the potential for AI to deceive humans in certain contexts is becoming increasingly real, particularly when humans are less attentive to their conversational partners.

According to the researchers, participants who accurately identified the machines paid attention to various factors, including the level of formality or informality in speech, verbosity, grammar and punctuation, as well as the use of standard responses.

The scientists propose that as AI becomes more sophisticated and exhibits individual characteristics in conversation, it will be essential to identify the factors that lead to deception and develop strategies to prevent it. The report raises important questions about the social and economic consequences of widespread use of AI, as it becomes capable of successfully imitating human communication. It also highlights the need for strategies that can help society adapt to the new challenges associated with the rapid development of AI.

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