Between 2021 and 2029, the number of departures from teacher-researchers will in particular 97 % in science, according to a note from the Ministry of Higher Education. The number of students continues to grow.
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In the teacher-researcher community, the coming decade will be that of retirement. Between 2021 and 2029, they will be massive, up 53 % on average, and 97 % in science -the highest leap -, according to a note published in July The Statistical Service of the Ministry of Higher Education.
The “final departures”, which include pensions and other forms of departure of the profession, constitute a subject of major concern, while the student population grows faster than the teachers. At the start of the school year, nearly 3 million students will take the courses given by 55,400 titular teacher-researchers, supported by 23,000 contract workers and 13,000 second degree teachers.
Just in 2021, the number of final departures increased by 8.4 % compared to 2020, an increase marked in particular in letters and human sciences (+ 16.3 %) and in science (+ 10.9 %). The trend would be extended at least until 2029, at the rate of + 5.5 % per year, according to the ministry.
This tendency contrasts with the continuous decline in departures which characterized the decade 2010-2020, mainly under the effect of demography. “This explains why these forecast percentages may seem impressive, comments Christophe Bonnet, deputy secretary general of the Sgen-CFDT. During our discussions with the ministry on the research programming law, we hammered that we had to create positions Faster. These are not credits to respond to calls for projects that establishments need, but funding for the payroll. “
” Postal gel “
Will there in the future teacher-researchers hold each amphitheater? The magnitude of the final departures will be variable depending on the disciplines. The annual departure rate (departures reported to active workforce) over the period 2022-2029 would be the highest in the health sector (3.6 %), followed by that of science (2.7 %). By comparison, this rate was 1.6 % between 2018 and 2021, partially offset by an average annual rate of recruitment of 1.4 %.
On an annual average, between the 2021 and 2029 return, the population of university students (including IUT) should increase by 0.2 %, continues the statistical service of the ministry, which calculated a coupling index “increase in Student workforce + teacher-researchers’ departures “. This accumulation, which would be 3 %, is equivalent to the recruitment needs to ensure a constant supervisory rate of students. “This shows the extent of the additional effort to be recruited over the next period,” said the note, which recalls that the average annual rate of external recruitment was 2.2 %, or 0.8 points less, Over the recent period 2018-2021.
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