Population of land will exceed 8 billion inhabitants before end of year

According to the new UN report on the world population, in the longer term the number of humans should stop growing, to stabilize around 10.4 billion at the end of the century. COVVI-19 caused an excess mortality of 14.9 million individuals in 2020 and 2021.

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The earth is about to take an important step in its long existence. According to the latest demographic data from the United Nations (UN), published Monday, July 11, on the occasion of World Population Day, the planet will be occupied by eight billion humans from November 15 . Humans have never been so numerous. It is a billion more than in 2010. Two billion more than in 1998. and five and a half billion more than in 1950.

The settlement of the earth continues to grow and there is only “one in two chance” that the trend comes to reverse before the end of the century. In reality, demographers of the population division, in the UN economic and social affairs department, consider “95 % safe” the probability that we are between 8.9 and 12.4 billion in 2100. The Cap of the ten billion could be reached in 2059 to stabilize then, according to an “average” scenario, around 10.4 billion humans in the 2080s.

Thus, the achievement of a maximum tray would intervene earlier than expected. “This is a particularly interesting element, because, in its latest report, published three years ago, the UN only considers demographic stabilization during the XXII ^{e dresses”, notes Gilles Pison, professor at the National Museum of Natural History and Scientific Advisor to the National Institute of Demographic Studies, in Paris. This scenario is explained “mainly” by the fact that each woman gives birth to fewer and fewer children, underlines this expert: of 2.3 currently, the fertility rate could fall to 1.8 in 2100, marking ” The end of the renewal of generations “.}

Littlely awaited on the estimation of the demographic effects of the Pandemic of Covid-19 which has struck the planet in the last two years, the United Nations has worked in concert with the World Health Organization to draw up a new assessment. While in November 2021 the Anglo-Saxon press advanced the figure of 17 million deaths, the two international institutions today estimate that “the excess mortality associated with the pandemic reached 14.9 million people for the period between the 1 ER January 2020 and December 31, 2021 “. They thus confirm that reality could correspond to “almost three times the number of officially declared deaths”, which many scientists have supposed for about a year.

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