The Prime Minister, who must pronounce his declaration of general policy, Wednesday July 6, before the deputies, will not engage the responsibility of his government, for lack of sufficient majority.
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The precautionary principle finally won. For several weeks, a doubt has been in the intentions of the government’s heading, Elisabeth Borne: would she ask – or not – a vote of confidence of the deputies, after her declaration of general policy, that she must pronounce Wednesday July 6, in the National Assembly?
Two days before the deadline, this strategic question was finally decided. “The Prime Minister will not seek the confidence of parliamentarians,” the new government spokesman Olivier Véran said on Monday, July 4 in the afternoon, after the first council of government ministers “Bound 2 “. On Wednesday, at 3 p.m., the Prime Minister will therefore make a speech before the deputies; Then another the same evening, in front of the senators, who will both be followed by a debate without vote.
A decision, which stems directly from the balance of power to the National Assembly: since the legislative elections, the presidential camp has only had a small relative majority. By totaling all the Renaissance, Modem and Horizons deputies, the pro-macron forces have only 250 seats, far from the absolute majority, fixed at 289. and less than the opposition, which totals 327 members.
“We have made a count of the number of votes that the Prime Minister would have been sure to collect in the event of a vote of trust, we are not sure that the conditions for this confidence would have been met,” said Véran . Before adding: “Confidence is not decreed a priori, it is patiently constructed text after text.”
“it would be suicidal”
Irony of fate: the reshuffle, which took place on Monday morning, had the effect of making even more complicated the obtaining of an absolute majority in the National Assembly. Because several deputies of the presidential majority-like the macronists Roland Lescure (French established outside France) and Hervé Berville (Côtes-d’Armor), or even modem Jean-Noël Barrot (Yvelines) and Agnès Firmin Le Bodo (Seine -Maritime) – entered the government. This has caused votes to be lost in the event of a vote, their alternates giving the Palais-Bourbon until after a month.
Lack of sufficient troops, Elisabeth Borne therefore gave up venturing into such a ballot, the potential consequences of which could have been very heavy. In accordance with article 50 of the Constitution, a negative vote would have led to the resignation of the government. And therefore of his leader.
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