In a political landscape in full upheaval, each electoral deadline tends to produce a distorting effect. On the evening of the first round of the presidential election on Sunday April 10, the Macron-Le Pen match focused attention. On the evening of the first round of the legislative elections, Sunday June 12, the macron-Mélenchon confrontation dominates: 276 duels oppose a candidate of the club to that of the presidential majority, with the challenge of limiting, Sunday, June 19, the presidential majority.
re -elected with 58.55 % of the votes cast on April 24, Emmanuel Macron is doubly threatened by the decline in overall voice !, The Confederation which unites the parties of the majority, and by the offensive of the one looking for to become the only opponent who counts.
By managing to carry out the union of the left upstream of the first round, by suggesting that he could establish himself as the Prime Minister of Emmanuel Macron, the “rebellious” Restoring colors to a camp that seemed a few months ago, dedicated to lasting marginalization. The Magic Tour, operated by the third man of the presidential election, is indisputable.
Even if he has not managed to garner a score important enough to claim to twist his arm to the President of the Republic, the former socialist has, by an intimate knowledge of the cogs of the V e Sup> Republic, more than rebalance the representation of the political field to its benefit: in the National Assembly, the Nuts can reasonably hope to become the first opposition force, very far before the National Rally.
Within the alliance, LFI is guaranteed to become the dominant star, with environmentalists as satellites, which means the proclaimed end of socialist hegemony. Even before the new legislature opens, Jean-Luc Mélenchon did indeed conquered the title of first opponent he has been playing for five years at Marine Le Pen.
The result in voice of this first round, however, relativizes the feat: the only political force to benefit from an electoral dynamic, from one five -year term to another, is the extreme right. With 18.67 % of the votes cast, according to the counting of the world, the national rally increased by more than 5 points compared to 2017, while reconquest !, The party of Eric Zemmour, which did not exist there are five years, borders on 4.5 % of the votes cast. We do not see, on the other hand, no electoral thrust of the Nutples, whose result, close to 26 %, is equivalent in total to what the political parties that compose it weighed in 2017 but in a configuration and a balance of power that were So very different.
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