The Head of State wishes to reactivate the Republican Front in the face of the national gathering candidate, who wants to go on election a “anti-macron referendum”.
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What will the between-tours of the presidential election look like? After the qualification of Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen for the ballot of April 24, two strategies seem to be emerging. One is the “anti-macron referendum”. The other is the reactivation of the Republican Front.
On the side of the far-right candidate, the solution is, indeed, obvious: to make “anything except macron”. Thus, M me le Pen called, from Sunday evening 10 April, “all those who did not vote” Emmanuel Macron to “join it”. According to her, “what will be played is a choice of society and even civilization”. She intends to incarnate not only alternation but also an alternative to the current head of state. The President “Liberal”, accused of being disconnected from the people, against the candidate “purchasing power”, which presents himself as close to people. With a simple consequence: since it is a “duel” to beat the outgoing, there is only one effective newsletter: his.
For the peonsists, the 72% Frenchman who did not choose the head of state have, in fact, voted against him. A little fast analysis but has the advantage of simplicity. Already, the member for Pas-de-Calais can count on the postponements of the other extreme right candidates since Nicolas Dupont-Aignan and Eric Zemmour have called to vote for her. But above all, M me Le Pen has been convinced for several years that some of its voice reserves is in the abstainers and on the right, but also among the voters of Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Thus, according to a second round projection carried out by Ipsos-Sopra Steria for France TV, Radio France, France 24, RFI, public Senate, LCP and the Parisian where she would collect 46% of the votes, 30% of the voters of Mr. Mélenchon would choose To vote for her, 34% for Mr. Macron and 36% would abstain. A significant portion, therefore.
Few voice reserves for Macron
The idea of the national gathering strategists (Rn) is to create a kind of coalition of anger. The far-right candidate believes henceforth, since the presidential campaign was normalized, in particular by contrasting with an Eric Zemmour to radical and outrageous declarations and since, in the opinion, it does not cause any more the same rejection as before. But it will not be easy.
Indeed, in the wake of the results, several candidates have quickly called to make it beat: the ecologist Yannick Jadot, the Socialist Anne Hidalgo, the Communist Fabien Roussel and the candidate of the party the Republicans, Valérie Pécresse. Certainly, these are “small” candidates all gathered less than 5% of the vote. But the symbol counts: one that a “sanitary cord” around the extreme right would exist yet.
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