If the Ukraine war has first strengthened its favorite position, President Candidate has led a campaign overlooking the daily concerns of the French.
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His supports jubilant and already imagined the place they could play in the future majority. Having integrated their future defeat, his opponents were reduced to denouncing the lack of democratic debate. In early March, the scenario was already written in advance: Emmanuel Macron was likely to be re-elected for a second term. Benefiting from the “war in Ukraine”, triggered on 24 February, the candidate president flew in the voting intentions for the presidential election, being credited by 30.5% in the first round, far before his opponent Far right, Marine Le Pen (14.5%), according to the sixth wave of the Ipsos-Sopra Steria survey for Le Monde. Already given Favorite for many months, the head of state digging the gap with his pursuers in proportions ever seen since the beginning of the five-year. Even before having started, the campaign seemed already finished.
The role of mediator played by Mr. Macron between Russian President, Vladimir Putin, and his Ukrainian counterpart, Volodymyr Zelensky, reinforced his presidential stature. “The flag effect”, described by the surveyors, played full. Around the candidate, the polls then dictated the strategy: Mr. Macron had to remain as much as possible president, in order to continue to take advantage of this “competitive advantage” in relation to his opponents. Usually not chatty with journalists, the Elysee communicates to Outrage on his diplomatic action. On March 7, the General Delegate of the Republic (LRM), Stanislas Guerini, presents it as “the only head of state who continues to speak with Vladimir Putin”. Everything is good to make it appear above the fray. What has the gift of annoying the opposition, which denounces, by the voice of the President the Republicans (LR) of the Senate, Gérard Lacher, “a form of scriptwriting of the crisis on the part of the President of the Republic”.
Aeéolé of his favorite status, Mr. Macron then makes the choice of security. After having declared his candidacy on March 4 in a letter to the French filled with general formulas, he is satisfied with “conversations” custom like in Pau and Poissy (Yvelines), or promotional videos on social networks. Why take the risk of walking up, while it’s already won? No question of damaging the presidential costume, participating in a debate with its competitors. MP LRM Jean-François Eliaou said aloud that a lot of macronists think very much: “The quality of personalities in the running does not justify that one lowers to chat with them,” he declares then to liberation. . “Emmanuel Macron, who has always boasted his taste for risk, has become an annuitant, who pushes his advantage to the end”, in return the National Secretary of Europe Ecology-Les Verts, Julien Bayou, accusing the Head of State wanting to “spoke debate and election”.
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