The re-election of the head of state, which held Meeting Sunday in Brasilia, promises to be difficult. In all polls, it is relegated to second place, far behind Lula.
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The Liberal Party (PL) had seen great for the launch of Jair Bolsonaro’s pre-candidacy for a new mandate, Sunday, March 27th. The new political movement of the Head of State, and the ninth to which he has joined since the beginning of his career, had reserved the largest palace of Latin America congresses for the event, in Brasilia.
But in flagrant violation of the electoral law, which sets the beginning of the presidential campaign to the beginning of the presidential campaign – the election will be held in October -, the PL had to rename the ceremony, and to remove posters the Terms “Launch” and “Pre-Application”.
The speeches, however, announced an election campaign and the decor was entirely dedicated “to the Captain of the People”, a formula written in giant letters on the screens. But for this launch, he lacked the enthusiasm, and the crowd of activists, who did not fill the immense room at all.
The president has also not shown a great enthusiast during his speech about twenty minutes, more centered on his balance sheet and his past than on a new mandate. Accompanied by the main figures of his government, he promised again to “give his life for Brazil”, adding many times “if God wants it”. With the military vocabulary he is experiencing, he described the fight he will lead like “a battle of good against evil. In our Brazil, our enemy is not external, it is internal”.
A re-election that proves difficult
Without ever named the former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva said Lula, he attributed to the left – the internal enemy – all the evils of the country, in particular the corruption and the loss of moral values. He recycled the arguments and formulas of the 2018 election by repeating that Brazil would know the same fate as Venezuela or Cuba if the workers’ party (PT) came back to power. But without raising the voice or lift the indignation of activists, as it happened so well to do it four years ago.
The launch of this campaign, which was not one, should still put the machine from the far right to attempt a re-election that proves difficult. In all polls for a year, the president is relegated to second place, far behind Lula with 10 to 15 points behind.
On March 24, in the most recent opinion investigation of the Datafolha Institute, however, he obtained four more points than in December 2021, to 26% voting intentions, while Lula loses five (48% to 43%). “The president has gained popularity because it is actually already in the countryside: he travels, inaugurated infrastructure arms and above all uses the budget of the state. With new social aid, he won voices to Low-income classes that vote for Lula “, considers the sociologist Esther Solano, professor at the Federal University of Sao Paulo (UNIFESP).
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