Western capitals are not the only ones to navigate the intentions of the Kremlin head. In Russia itself, its intrigue operation.
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Collegiate or vertical, decision-making in Moscow returns in all cases to a single man: Vladimir Putin. In recent days, the chief of the Kremlin has not publicly spoken, continuing to blow hot and cold on the tensions with the west. As often in the former KGB agent become president, silence is one of the tactical weapons. To avoid giving the impression of acting under pressure. And to better orchestrate the blow after. De facto, on the rest of the crisis, it is the most total blur. “Vladimir Putin has not made his decision yet,” wrote the Elysee on Saturday, February 12 after a new telephone exchange between Emmanuel Macron and the Kremlin Head.
Western capitals are not the only ones to navigate on the intentions of Moscow. And on the President’s decision-making processes, 70 years in October after almost a quarter of a century in power. In Russia itself, its intrigue operation beyond statements and oukases. Vladimir Putin’s decision-making mode would be collegial, assure each other: President in the center of the Kremlin Tours and in the heart of the centers to various interests, he would act in equilibrist seeking a compromise between his elites. Others say that the mode is more vertical: Vladimir Putin would only consult half a dozen people, a small committee composed of loved ones, especially hawks of the security services.
For the time being, two Sergei are at work, faithful and operational. Lavrov, Indobolder Minister of Foreign Affairs, multiplies meetings and calls. It shows up at once open and dry, kind and brittle. The diplomat impresses with his knowledge and his memory, his talent and his stamina. He knows the files by heart. Sergei Lavrov would have seen his influence decreases in the power of those advocating a radicalization in the verb and the facts: since the divorce between Moscow and the West is consumed, the Kremlin should cease his liberal pretense and to show themselves openly more offensive. In front of the climb of the bellicists, the minister even arises in bulwark, until the dialogist and trading fierce. But in recent days he has shown himself impatient, denouncing with sarcasm “hysteria” of Westerners on the imminence of a Russian invasion of Ukraine and condemning “the ultimatums and threats that do not lead to Nothing “.
Exercises All Azimuths
In the field, it is the other Sergei which concretely applies the diplomacy of the uncertainty desired by the Kremlin. Choïgou, the friend and Minister of Defense, is working to maintain pressure and reinforce the general feeling of insecurity in the west. In the face of Westerners accused of not having kept their promises after the fall of the USSR and organizing the extension of NATO to Russian borders, Vladimir Putin at Brandi on December 21, 2021 the threat of “technico- military “.
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