In 2022, Russians expect a significant slowdown in inflation, which will come close to the pre-crisis level. According to analysts surveyed by “ribbon”, the main reasons will be measures taken by the financial authorities, including a sharp increase in key rates up to 8.5 percent.
The minimum value voiced by experts is four percent per annum, the maximum is six percent. Three analysts predicted inflation in 4.5-5 percent. The average value is five percent.
“The greatest decline we are waiting for the food segment – the forecast for the end of 2022 is 5.5 percent of the year by year, after the expected 10.5 percent at the end of 2021. The decline will be achieved due to the measures of authorities to protect the domestic market from imported inflation. , as well as against the background of improving the situation in agriculture. Promoting inflation braking will also be a high base of 2021, “said Promsvyazbank’s chief analyst Denis Popov.
Alexander Bakhtin from the BCS World Investment believes that the inflation indicators in Russia will affect the supply interruptions in the world and the preservation of high rates of price increases in countries with developed economies. Pavel Zhuravlev from the Renaissance loan draws attention to the inflation expectations of the population, which often affect the rise in prices more than objective factors.
Head of the Macroeconomic Analysis Department Olga Belenkaya is confident that the 2022th will become a year of reducing inflation around the world, and this trend will reflect in Russia. Also, the interlocutors “tape.ru” called the likely, in their opinion, the meaning of the key rate of the Central Bank by the end of December. The minimum equal to seven percent, the maximum – ten percent.
A year ago, experts predicted prices for 3.5 percent of 2021 and a key rate at 4.2 percent. In reality, inflation reached 8.4 percent, the key rate equals 8.5 percent.