The demand for natural gas will inevitably grow in the coming years, predicted specialists from the International Energy Agency (MEA) in the World Energy Outlook report.
We are talking about a forecast of demand in three possible scenarios, which is considering agency: Stated Policies Scenario, Steps, taking into account the actual climate policy, The Announced Pledges Scenario, APS, coming from the fact that the goals delivered by governments and Net Zero EMISSIONS BY 2050 SCENARIO, NZE, assuming carbon neutrality by 2050.
“The demand for natural gas will increase in all three scenarios over the next five years, and then serious discrepancies will follow. The extent to which and how much natural gas will retain the role when accelerating the energy transition, will depend on many factors, and forecasts Seriously different for specific countries and regions, “- said in the MEA report.
In the SCRAPER STEPS, the demand for natural gas will grow by 2030 by 15 percent compared with the levels of 2020, up to 4.5 trillion cubic meters, and by 2050 – up to 5.1 trillion. The use in industry by the middle of the century will increase, and the gas will continue to be the main fuel for heating, experts say.
moreover, the demand for oil in the long run, according to the agency’s forecasts, will decline in any scenario, the peak may occur after 2025. Within the framework of STEPs, the maximum demand in 104 million barrels will have to 2030 and will decline further. In this case, the cost of one barrel of oil will be from 60 to 90 dollars per barrel.