A group of Chinese scientists from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention, the People’s Liberation Army and a number of research institutions have modeled the options for the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021. The South China Morning Post writes about it.
According to experts from China, in the worst case scenario, the total number of people infected with coronavirus around the world will increase from 92 million to 170 million over the next two months. At the same time, the head of the study, Xu Jianguo, believes that one fifth of the total number of diseases in the world will be in the United States. In addition, the death toll from COVID-19 could rise to five million by early March.
The most optimistic scenario requires everyone to follow the rules of social distancing and wearing masks. In addition, national governments should only take effective measures, and a massive vaccination program should not stand still. However, according to scientists, another three hundred thousand people will die from COVID-19 around the world by early March this year.
According to scientists, the main problem is that the SARS-CoV-2 virus, like the flu, is developing. This means that the adaptation of the virus to the human body can lead to a seasonal nature of the disease, so the fight against it will be much more difficult.
Earlier, Michael Ryan, the director of the World Health Organization’s (WHO) emergency program, predicted that the second year of the coronavirus pandemic could be more difficult for humanity than the first. The representative of the organization noted that information received by WHO over the past two weeks suggests that the incidence of COVID-19 has peaked again.